Originally posted by Chris Knipp

The truth is that there is not really a great masterpiece film made every year. But when there is one, nine out of ten times the Academy doesn't even know it exists. They don't know from Jia Zhang-ke, and they didn't nominate Haneke's Caché and Wong's 2046. They overlooked Grizzly Man....and so on and on. Personally, I do not like Munich, though I agree it is a movie from 2005 that anyone has to watch, and I will be horrified if it wins. I also think Crash tries too hard to be significant and doesn't deserve to be rewarded for its obviousness. So I don't want to see the Oscars, I'll just see later what happens, even though I might like watching Jon Stewart.

Precisely.

I'll be watching because my wife and daughter want me to, and I already watched tonight's Miami Festival films during press screenings. Not that I care a whole lot...but I'm rooting for King Kong to win Art Direction and Sound, A History of Violence for Adapted Screenplay, Howl's Moving Castle for Animated Film, The New World for Cinematography, Cinderella Man for Editing, and Brokeback Mountain for everything else, including Best Picture.